sklearn.calibration.calibration_curve(y_true, y_prob, normalize=False, n_bins=5)[source]

Compute true and predicted probabilities for a calibration curve.

Calibration curves may also be referred to as reliability diagrams.

Read more in the User Guide.


y_true : array, shape (n_samples,)

True targets.

y_prob : array, shape (n_samples,)

Probabilities of the positive class.

normalize : bool, optional, default=False

Whether y_prob needs to be normalized into the bin [0, 1], i.e. is not a proper probability. If True, the smallest value in y_prob is mapped onto 0 and the largest one onto 1.

n_bins : int

Number of bins. A bigger number requires more data.


prob_true : array, shape (n_bins,)

The true probability in each bin (fraction of positives).

prob_pred : array, shape (n_bins,)

The mean predicted probability in each bin.


Alexandru Niculescu-Mizil and Rich Caruana (2005) Predicting Good Probabilities With Supervised Learning, in Proceedings of the 22nd International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML). See section 4 (Qualitative Analysis of Predictions).

Examples using sklearn.calibration.calibration_curve