Note
Click here to download the full example code or to run this example in your browser via Binder
Illustration of prior and posterior Gaussian process for different kernels¶
This example illustrates the prior and posterior of a GPR with different kernels. Mean, standard deviation, and 10 samples are shown for both prior and posterior.
Out:
/home/circleci/project/sklearn/gaussian_process/kernels.py:411: ConvergenceWarning: The optimal value found for dimension 0 of parameter k2__alpha is close to the specified upper bound 100000.0. Increasing the bound and calling fit again may find a better value.
warnings.warn("The optimal value found for "
/home/circleci/project/sklearn/gaussian_process/_gpr.py:506: ConvergenceWarning: lbfgs failed to converge (status=2):
ABNORMAL_TERMINATION_IN_LNSRCH.
Increase the number of iterations (max_iter) or scale the data as shown in:
https://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/preprocessing.html
_check_optimize_result("lbfgs", opt_res)
print(__doc__)
# Authors: Jan Hendrik Metzen <jhm@informatik.uni-bremen.de>
#
# License: BSD 3 clause
import numpy as np
from matplotlib import pyplot as plt
from sklearn.gaussian_process import GaussianProcessRegressor
from sklearn.gaussian_process.kernels import (RBF, Matern, RationalQuadratic,
ExpSineSquared, DotProduct,
ConstantKernel)
kernels = [1.0 * RBF(length_scale=1.0, length_scale_bounds=(1e-1, 10.0)),
1.0 * RationalQuadratic(length_scale=1.0, alpha=0.1),
1.0 * ExpSineSquared(length_scale=1.0, periodicity=3.0,
length_scale_bounds=(0.1, 10.0),
periodicity_bounds=(1.0, 10.0)),
ConstantKernel(0.1, (0.01, 10.0))
* (DotProduct(sigma_0=1.0, sigma_0_bounds=(0.1, 10.0)) ** 2),
1.0 * Matern(length_scale=1.0, length_scale_bounds=(1e-1, 10.0),
nu=1.5)]
for kernel in kernels:
# Specify Gaussian Process
gp = GaussianProcessRegressor(kernel=kernel)
# Plot prior
plt.figure(figsize=(8, 8))
plt.subplot(2, 1, 1)
X_ = np.linspace(0, 5, 100)
y_mean, y_std = gp.predict(X_[:, np.newaxis], return_std=True)
plt.plot(X_, y_mean, 'k', lw=3, zorder=9)
plt.fill_between(X_, y_mean - y_std, y_mean + y_std,
alpha=0.2, color='k')
y_samples = gp.sample_y(X_[:, np.newaxis], 10)
plt.plot(X_, y_samples, lw=1)
plt.xlim(0, 5)
plt.ylim(-3, 3)
plt.title("Prior (kernel: %s)" % kernel, fontsize=12)
# Generate data and fit GP
rng = np.random.RandomState(4)
X = rng.uniform(0, 5, 10)[:, np.newaxis]
y = np.sin((X[:, 0] - 2.5) ** 2)
gp.fit(X, y)
# Plot posterior
plt.subplot(2, 1, 2)
X_ = np.linspace(0, 5, 100)
y_mean, y_std = gp.predict(X_[:, np.newaxis], return_std=True)
plt.plot(X_, y_mean, 'k', lw=3, zorder=9)
plt.fill_between(X_, y_mean - y_std, y_mean + y_std,
alpha=0.2, color='k')
y_samples = gp.sample_y(X_[:, np.newaxis], 10)
plt.plot(X_, y_samples, lw=1)
plt.scatter(X[:, 0], y, c='r', s=50, zorder=10, edgecolors=(0, 0, 0))
plt.xlim(0, 5)
plt.ylim(-3, 3)
plt.title("Posterior (kernel: %s)\n Log-Likelihood: %.3f"
% (gp.kernel_, gp.log_marginal_likelihood(gp.kernel_.theta)),
fontsize=12)
plt.tight_layout()
plt.show()
Total running time of the script: ( 0 minutes 1.342 seconds)
