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Model Complexity InfluenceΒΆ

Demonstrate how model complexity influences both prediction accuracy and computational performance.

The dataset is the Boston Housing dataset (resp. 20 Newsgroups) for regression (resp. classification).

For each class of models we make the model complexity vary through the choice of relevant model parameters and measure the influence on both computational performance (latency) and predictive power (MSE or Hamming Loss).

  • ../../_images/plot_model_complexity_influence_0011.png
  • ../../_images/plot_model_complexity_influence_0021.png
  • ../../_images/plot_model_complexity_influence_0031.png

Script output:

Benchmarking SGDClassifier(alpha=0.001, average=False, class_weight=None, epsilon=0.1,
       eta0=0.0, fit_intercept=True, l1_ratio=0.25,
       learning_rate='optimal', loss='modified_huber', n_iter=5, n_jobs=1,
       penalty='elasticnet', power_t=0.5, random_state=None, shuffle=True,
       verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 4488 | Hamming Loss (Misclassification Ratio): 0.2586 | Pred. Time: 0.027681s

Benchmarking SGDClassifier(alpha=0.001, average=False, class_weight=None, epsilon=0.1,
       eta0=0.0, fit_intercept=True, l1_ratio=0.5, learning_rate='optimal',
       loss='modified_huber', n_iter=5, n_jobs=1, penalty='elasticnet',
       power_t=0.5, random_state=None, shuffle=True, verbose=0,
       warm_start=False)
Complexity: 1650 | Hamming Loss (Misclassification Ratio): 0.2875 | Pred. Time: 0.019802s

Benchmarking SGDClassifier(alpha=0.001, average=False, class_weight=None, epsilon=0.1,
       eta0=0.0, fit_intercept=True, l1_ratio=0.75,
       learning_rate='optimal', loss='modified_huber', n_iter=5, n_jobs=1,
       penalty='elasticnet', power_t=0.5, random_state=None, shuffle=True,
       verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 893 | Hamming Loss (Misclassification Ratio): 0.3286 | Pred. Time: 0.016059s

Benchmarking SGDClassifier(alpha=0.001, average=False, class_weight=None, epsilon=0.1,
       eta0=0.0, fit_intercept=True, l1_ratio=0.9, learning_rate='optimal',
       loss='modified_huber', n_iter=5, n_jobs=1, penalty='elasticnet',
       power_t=0.5, random_state=None, shuffle=True, verbose=0,
       warm_start=False)
Complexity: 666 | Hamming Loss (Misclassification Ratio): 0.3281 | Pred. Time: 0.014119s

Benchmarking NuSVR(C=1000.0, cache_size=200, coef0=0.0, degree=3, gamma=3.0517578125e-05,
   kernel='rbf', max_iter=-1, nu=0.1, shrinking=True, tol=0.001,
   verbose=False)
Complexity: 69 | MSE: 31.8133 | Pred. Time: 0.000405s

Benchmarking NuSVR(C=1000.0, cache_size=200, coef0=0.0, degree=3, gamma=3.0517578125e-05,
   kernel='rbf', max_iter=-1, nu=0.25, shrinking=True, tol=0.001,
   verbose=False)
Complexity: 136 | MSE: 25.6140 | Pred. Time: 0.000745s

Benchmarking NuSVR(C=1000.0, cache_size=200, coef0=0.0, degree=3, gamma=3.0517578125e-05,
   kernel='rbf', max_iter=-1, nu=0.5, shrinking=True, tol=0.001,
   verbose=False)
Complexity: 243 | MSE: 22.3315 | Pred. Time: 0.001287s

Benchmarking NuSVR(C=1000.0, cache_size=200, coef0=0.0, degree=3, gamma=3.0517578125e-05,
   kernel='rbf', max_iter=-1, nu=0.75, shrinking=True, tol=0.001,
   verbose=False)
Complexity: 350 | MSE: 21.3679 | Pred. Time: 0.001823s

Benchmarking NuSVR(C=1000.0, cache_size=200, coef0=0.0, degree=3, gamma=3.0517578125e-05,
   kernel='rbf', max_iter=-1, nu=0.9, shrinking=True, tol=0.001,
   verbose=False)
Complexity: 404 | MSE: 21.0915 | Pred. Time: 0.002086s

Benchmarking GradientBoostingRegressor(alpha=0.9, init=None, learning_rate=0.1, loss='ls',
             max_depth=3, max_features=None, max_leaf_nodes=None,
             min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=2,
             min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=10,
             random_state=None, subsample=1.0, verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 10 | MSE: 27.9672 | Pred. Time: 0.000092s

Benchmarking GradientBoostingRegressor(alpha=0.9, init=None, learning_rate=0.1, loss='ls',
             max_depth=3, max_features=None, max_leaf_nodes=None,
             min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=2,
             min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=50,
             random_state=None, subsample=1.0, verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 50 | MSE: 8.0288 | Pred. Time: 0.000161s

Benchmarking GradientBoostingRegressor(alpha=0.9, init=None, learning_rate=0.1, loss='ls',
             max_depth=3, max_features=None, max_leaf_nodes=None,
             min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=2,
             min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=100,
             random_state=None, subsample=1.0, verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 100 | MSE: 6.7578 | Pred. Time: 0.000254s

Benchmarking GradientBoostingRegressor(alpha=0.9, init=None, learning_rate=0.1, loss='ls',
             max_depth=3, max_features=None, max_leaf_nodes=None,
             min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=2,
             min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=200,
             random_state=None, subsample=1.0, verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 200 | MSE: 5.8592 | Pred. Time: 0.000437s

Benchmarking GradientBoostingRegressor(alpha=0.9, init=None, learning_rate=0.1, loss='ls',
             max_depth=3, max_features=None, max_leaf_nodes=None,
             min_samples_leaf=1, min_samples_split=2,
             min_weight_fraction_leaf=0.0, n_estimators=500,
             random_state=None, subsample=1.0, verbose=0, warm_start=False)
Complexity: 500 | MSE: 6.0492 | Pred. Time: 0.001158s

Python source code: plot_model_complexity_influence.py

print(__doc__)

# Author: Eustache Diemert <eustache@diemert.fr>
# License: BSD 3 clause

import time
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from mpl_toolkits.axes_grid1.parasite_axes import host_subplot
from mpl_toolkits.axisartist.axislines import Axes
from scipy.sparse.csr import csr_matrix

from sklearn import datasets
from sklearn.utils import shuffle
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from sklearn.svm.classes import NuSVR
from sklearn.ensemble.gradient_boosting import GradientBoostingRegressor
from sklearn.linear_model.stochastic_gradient import SGDClassifier
from sklearn.metrics import hamming_loss

###############################################################################
# Routines


# initialize random generator
np.random.seed(0)


def generate_data(case, sparse=False):
    """Generate regression/classification data."""
    bunch = None
    if case == 'regression':
        bunch = datasets.load_boston()
    elif case == 'classification':
        bunch = datasets.fetch_20newsgroups_vectorized(subset='all')
    X, y = shuffle(bunch.data, bunch.target)
    offset = int(X.shape[0] * 0.8)
    X_train, y_train = X[:offset], y[:offset]
    X_test, y_test = X[offset:], y[offset:]
    if sparse:
        X_train = csr_matrix(X_train)
        X_test = csr_matrix(X_test)
    else:
        X_train = np.array(X_train)
        X_test = np.array(X_test)
    y_test = np.array(y_test)
    y_train = np.array(y_train)
    data = {'X_train': X_train, 'X_test': X_test, 'y_train': y_train,
            'y_test': y_test}
    return data


def benchmark_influence(conf):
    """
    Benchmark influence of :changing_param: on both MSE and latency.
    """
    prediction_times = []
    prediction_powers = []
    complexities = []
    for param_value in conf['changing_param_values']:
        conf['tuned_params'][conf['changing_param']] = param_value
        estimator = conf['estimator'](**conf['tuned_params'])
        print("Benchmarking %s" % estimator)
        estimator.fit(conf['data']['X_train'], conf['data']['y_train'])
        conf['postfit_hook'](estimator)
        complexity = conf['complexity_computer'](estimator)
        complexities.append(complexity)
        start_time = time.time()
        for _ in range(conf['n_samples']):
            y_pred = estimator.predict(conf['data']['X_test'])
        elapsed_time = (time.time() - start_time) / float(conf['n_samples'])
        prediction_times.append(elapsed_time)
        pred_score = conf['prediction_performance_computer'](
            conf['data']['y_test'], y_pred)
        prediction_powers.append(pred_score)
        print("Complexity: %d | %s: %.4f | Pred. Time: %fs\n" % (
            complexity, conf['prediction_performance_label'], pred_score,
            elapsed_time))
    return prediction_powers, prediction_times, complexities


def plot_influence(conf, mse_values, prediction_times, complexities):
    """
    Plot influence of model complexity on both accuracy and latency.
    """
    plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
    host = host_subplot(111, axes_class=Axes)
    plt.subplots_adjust(right=0.75)
    par1 = host.twinx()
    host.set_xlabel('Model Complexity (%s)' % conf['complexity_label'])
    y1_label = conf['prediction_performance_label']
    y2_label = "Time (s)"
    host.set_ylabel(y1_label)
    par1.set_ylabel(y2_label)
    p1, = host.plot(complexities, mse_values, 'b-', label="prediction error")
    p2, = par1.plot(complexities, prediction_times, 'r-',
                    label="latency")
    host.legend(loc='upper right')
    host.axis["left"].label.set_color(p1.get_color())
    par1.axis["right"].label.set_color(p2.get_color())
    plt.title('Influence of Model Complexity - %s' % conf['estimator'].__name__)
    plt.show()


def _count_nonzero_coefficients(estimator):
    a = estimator.coef_.toarray()
    return np.count_nonzero(a)

###############################################################################
# main code
regression_data = generate_data('regression')
classification_data = generate_data('classification', sparse=True)
configurations = [
    {'estimator': SGDClassifier,
     'tuned_params': {'penalty': 'elasticnet', 'alpha': 0.001, 'loss':
                      'modified_huber', 'fit_intercept': True},
     'changing_param': 'l1_ratio',
     'changing_param_values': [0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.9],
     'complexity_label': 'non_zero coefficients',
     'complexity_computer': _count_nonzero_coefficients,
     'prediction_performance_computer': hamming_loss,
     'prediction_performance_label': 'Hamming Loss (Misclassification Ratio)',
     'postfit_hook': lambda x: x.sparsify(),
     'data': classification_data,
     'n_samples': 30},
    {'estimator': NuSVR,
     'tuned_params': {'C': 1e3, 'gamma': 2 ** -15},
     'changing_param': 'nu',
     'changing_param_values': [0.1, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 0.9],
     'complexity_label': 'n_support_vectors',
     'complexity_computer': lambda x: len(x.support_vectors_),
     'data': regression_data,
     'postfit_hook': lambda x: x,
     'prediction_performance_computer': mean_squared_error,
     'prediction_performance_label': 'MSE',
     'n_samples': 30},
    {'estimator': GradientBoostingRegressor,
     'tuned_params': {'loss': 'ls'},
     'changing_param': 'n_estimators',
     'changing_param_values': [10, 50, 100, 200, 500],
     'complexity_label': 'n_trees',
     'complexity_computer': lambda x: x.n_estimators,
     'data': regression_data,
     'postfit_hook': lambda x: x,
     'prediction_performance_computer': mean_squared_error,
     'prediction_performance_label': 'MSE',
     'n_samples': 30},
]
for conf in configurations:
    prediction_performances, prediction_times, complexities = \
        benchmark_influence(conf)
    plot_influence(conf, prediction_performances, prediction_times,
                   complexities)

Total running time of the example: 20.34 seconds ( 0 minutes 20.34 seconds)

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